Sport Picks
Kaerjeng vs FC Residence Walferdange - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Luxembourg
BGL Ligue 
Match Events
45'
45'
Delgado T.
Assist: Da Silva M.
66'
66'
Thill O.
90'
90'
Barbalinardo J.
AI Match Summary
FC Residence Walferdange in this BGL Ligue matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Residence Walferdange.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kaerjeng lately — more wins on the board than FC Residence Walferdange.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Kaerjeng taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 13%
FC Residence Walferdange Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaerjeng | FC Residence Walferdange |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs FC Residence Walferdange
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kaerjeng Compare
Top Goalscorer Thill O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
FC Residence Walferdange Compare
Top Goalscorer Delgado T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barbalinardo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaerjeng 84 / 100
FC Residence Walferdange 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaerjeng FC Residence Walferdange
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kaerjeng found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
FC Residence Walferdange let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Kaerjeng remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kaerjeng VS FC Residence Walferdange
3.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaerjeng
(Home) 20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9 Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4 Kaerjeng
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0 Victoria Rosport
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1 Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0 Hesperange
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0 Victoria Rosport
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0 Hesperange
16 Aug
Kaerjeng
1 : 2 FC Residence Walferdange
09 Aug
Kaerjeng
4 : 2 Hostert
26 Jul
Kaerjeng
2 : 0 Dudelange
Page 1 of 3
FC Residence Walferdange
(Away) 11 Oct
Differdange
6 : 0 FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2 FC Residence Walferdange
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1 Mondorf
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3 FC Residence Walferdange
06 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 3 UNA Strassen
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Differdange
6 : 0 FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2 FC Residence Walferdange
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3 FC Residence Walferdange
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5 FC Residence Walferdange
16 Aug
Kaerjeng
1 : 2 FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 24 |
| 2 | Differdange | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Mondorf | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Racing Luxembourg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Progres Niedercorn | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:5 | 16 |
| 6 | Kaerjeng | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23:15 | 15 |
| 7 | Bissen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:11 | 15 |
| 8 | FC Residence Walferdange | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 9 | Hostert | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Jeunesse Esch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | 7 |
| 11 | Dudelange | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 12 | Rumelange | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:23 | 6 |
| 13 | Victoria Rosport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:20 | 5 |
| 14 | Ettelbruck | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14:22 | 4 |
| 16 | Hesperange | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2:30 | -12 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)
