Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Bellali Y.
Assist: Maison B.
46'
46'
Sub
Bechtold M. In: Marques K.
Out: Bechtold M.
46'
46'
Sub
Sousa R. In: Arslan M.
Out: Sousa R.
AI Match Summary
Kaerjeng in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaerjeng.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kaerjeng
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Kaerjeng have won more games recently than Victoria Rosport.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Kaerjeng taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 68%
Victoria Rosport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaerjeng | Victoria Rosport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Kaerjeng vs Victoria Rosport
3:2
Mar 1, 2026 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs Victoria Rosport
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 BGL Ligue
Victoria Rosport vs Kaerjeng
2:1
Apr 21, 2024 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs Victoria Rosport
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 BGL Ligue
Victoria Rosport vs Kaerjeng
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kaerjeng Compare
Top Goalscorer Bellali Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mabwati I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Victoria Rosport Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaerjeng 95 / 100
Victoria Rosport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaerjeng Victoria Rosport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kaerjeng scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Victoria Rosport has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Kaerjeng has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kaerjeng VS Victoria Rosport
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaerjeng
(Home) 26 Jul
Kaerjeng
2 : 0 Dudelange
15 Jul
Kaerjeng
3 : 2 Victoria Rosport
27 Jun
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 3 Kaerjeng
23 May
Kaerjeng
0 : 2 Jeunesse Esch
17 May
Differdange
2 : 0 Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Kaerjeng
2 : 0 Dudelange
15 Jul
Kaerjeng
3 : 2 Victoria Rosport
23 May
Kaerjeng
0 : 2 Jeunesse Esch
10 May
Kaerjeng
1 : 0 Jeunesse Canach
26 Apr
Kaerjeng
2 : 5 Racing Luxembourg
Page 1 of 3
Victoria Rosport
(Away) 26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 FC Marisca Mersch
15 Jul
Kaerjeng
3 : 2 Victoria Rosport
27 Jun
UNA Strassen
2 : 0 Victoria Rosport
29 May
Differdange
4 : 1 Victoria Rosport
23 May
Victoria Rosport
2 : 4 Hostert
Page 1 of 7
15 Jul
Kaerjeng
3 : 2 Victoria Rosport
27 Jun
UNA Strassen
2 : 0 Victoria Rosport
29 May
Differdange
4 : 1 Victoria Rosport
17 May
Hesperange
3 : 0 Victoria Rosport
13 May
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 3 Victoria Rosport
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bissen | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 70:27 | 65 |
| 2 | Differdange | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 63:22 | 65 |
| 3 | Mondorf | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 51:24 | 60 |
| 4 | UNA Strassen | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 57:26 | 58 |
| 5 | Dudelange | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:38 | 58 |
| 6 | Jeunesse Esch | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 40 |
| 7 | Racing Luxembourg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 48:50 | 40 |
| 8 | Kaerjeng | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 43:48 | 38 |
| 9 | Hostert | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 35:56 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria Rosport | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 33:50 | 35 |
| 11 | Progres Niedercorn | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 44:47 | 34 |
| 12 | Hesperange | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 31:46 | 32 |
| 13 | Jeunesse Canach | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 29:44 | 31 |
| 14 | FC Mamer | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 33:59 | 29 |
| 15 | Union Titus Petange | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26:49 | 25 |
| 16 | FC Rodange 91 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 28:65 | 25 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2025/2026 (Relegation)
