Sport Picks
Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima 
Match Events
21'
21'
Arita R.
Assist: Egawa G.
37'
37'
Tanaka W.
Assist: Arita R.
61'
61'
Arita R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Kagoshima United and Fukushima United finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kagoshima United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kagoshima United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Fukushima United haven't matched Kagoshima United's recent run of results.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Kagoshima United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Kagoshima United have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 13%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kagoshima United | Fukushima United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United
3:2
Aug 30, 2025 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Kagoshima United
2:2
May 17, 2025 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United
5:0
Oct 29, 2023 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Kagoshima United
0:1
Jul 9, 2023 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Fukushima United
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kagoshima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Arita R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tanaka W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Fukushima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Okada Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kagoshima United 84 / 100
Fukushima United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kagoshima United Fukushima United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kagoshima United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fukushima United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Kagoshima United's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Kagoshima United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kagoshima United VS Fukushima United
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Kagoshima United
(Home) 07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Ryukyu
02 Sept
Kagoshima United
0 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
22 Aug
Kagoshima United
0 : 0 Gifu
Page 1 of 3
Fukushima United
(Away) 04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7 Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
26 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 0 Fukushima United
22 Aug
Gainare Tottori
2 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
