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Kagoshima United vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Yoshio K. In: Endo M.
Out: Yoshio K.
50'
Toyama T.
55'
Sub
Osaki L. In: Sanada R.
Out: Osaki L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kagoshima United
20%
Draws
29%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kagoshima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kagoshima United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kagoshima United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Kagoshima United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 68%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kagoshima United Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 J.League Cup
Kagoshima United vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kagoshima United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasegawa T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kagoshima United 50 / 100
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kagoshima United Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kagoshima United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kagoshima United found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Kagoshima United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kagoshima United VS Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kagoshima United

(Home)
11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Kagoshima United
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0
Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2
Fukushima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Away)
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -