Sport Picks
Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita
Japan
J2/J3 League Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima 
Match Events
32'
32'
Matheus Pereira
65'
65'
Patrick Verhon
Assist: Utsumoto S.
68'
68'
Sub
Kawamura K. In: Take S.
Out: Kawamura K.
AI Match Summary
The J2/J3 League game between Kagoshima United and Oita Trinita finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oita Trinita.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kagoshima United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kagoshima United come out ahead of Oita Trinita on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Kagoshima United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Oita Trinita here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 68%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kagoshima United | Oita Trinita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 J2 League
Kagoshima United vs Oita Trinita
3:0
Jun 12, 2024 Emperors Cup
Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United
1:0
Mar 20, 2024 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kagoshima United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Oita Trinita Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick Verhon
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kagoshima United 95 / 100
Oita Trinita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kagoshima United Oita Trinita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kagoshima United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Kagoshima United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Oita Trinita registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kagoshima United VS Oita Trinita
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kagoshima United
(Home) 07 Jun
Blaublitz
0 : 2 Kagoshima United
30 May
Albirex Niigata
0 : 1 Kagoshima United
24 May
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 5 Kagoshima United
17 May
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Kumamoto
10 May
Reilac Shiga
1 : 0 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Kumamoto
06 May
Kagoshima United
0 : 1 Oita Trinita
29 Apr
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Sagan Tosu
12 Apr
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Gainare Tottori
05 Apr
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 3
Oita Trinita
(Away) 07 Jun
Oita Trinita
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
30 May
Nara Club
4 : 3 Oita Trinita
24 May
Gainare Tottori
1 : 0 Oita Trinita
17 May
Oita Trinita
1 : 2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
10 May
Oita Trinita
0 : 1 Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 7
30 May
Nara Club
4 : 3 Oita Trinita
24 May
Gainare Tottori
1 : 0 Oita Trinita
06 May
Kagoshima United
0 : 1 Oita Trinita
03 May
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 1 Oita Trinita
25 Apr
Ryukyu
1 : 0 Oita Trinita
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 37:15 | 43 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 36:28 | 29 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33:36 | 28 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:25 | 22 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:35 | 21 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24:31 | 17 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kofu | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 24:23 | 30 |
| 6 | Gifu | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 33:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwata | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 25 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30:43 | 18 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:36 | 16 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyama | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 40:26 | 38 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Tokushima | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 38:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Kochi United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Ehime | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 20:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:36 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:34 | 19 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 35:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 27:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 16:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17:35 | 15 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)