Sport Picks
Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima 
Match Events
32'
32'
Nakayama K.
Assist: Tanaka W.
53'
53'
Konishi H.
60'
60'
Sub
Kotake S. In: Farzan Sana M.
Out: Kotake S.
AI Match Summary
Kagoshima United in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kagoshima United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kagoshima United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Thespakusatsu Gunma haven't matched Kagoshima United's recent run of results.
- Model gives Kagoshima United a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 20%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kagoshima United | Thespakusatsu Gunma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United
2:3
Mar 8, 2025 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
5:2
Jul 13, 2024 J2 League
Kagoshima United vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kagoshima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Nakayama K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kagoshima United 58 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kagoshima United Thespakusatsu Gunma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kagoshima United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thespakusatsu Gunma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Kagoshima United scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Kagoshima United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kagoshima United VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kagoshima United
(Home) 07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
05 Sept
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Ryukyu
02 Sept
Kagoshima United
0 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
22 Aug
Kagoshima United
0 : 0 Gifu
Page 1 of 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Away) 10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Aug
Verdy
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
19 Aug
Tohoku Gakuin University
1 : 3 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
