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Kagran vs Red Star Penzing

Austria Austria

Wien 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Wien 2025/2026 game between Kagran and Red Star Penzing finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Star Penzing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kagran
15%
Draws
54%
Red Star Penzing
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Red Star Penzing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Red Star Penzing come out ahead of Kagran on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Red Star Penzing taking it.
  • Regular Wien 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Red Star Penzing have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kagran Clean Sheet 10%
Red Star Penzing Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kagran Red Star Penzing
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Wien
Kagran vs Red Star Penzing
0:3
Aug 15, 2025 Wien
Red Star Penzing vs Kagran
4:1
Mar 1, 2025 Wien
Kagran vs Red Star Penzing
0:2
Aug 16, 2024 Wien
Red Star Penzing vs Kagran
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Wien
Kagran vs Red Star Penzing
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kagran 18 / 100
Red Star Penzing 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kagran Red Star Penzing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Star Penzing Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Kagran stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Kagran scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Red Star Penzing has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kagran VS Red Star Penzing
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kagran

(Home)
05 Sept
Sportunion Mauer
3 : 0
Kagran
01 Sept
Post Wien
2 : 2
Kagran
29 Aug
Kagran
0 : 2
Schwechat
30 Jul
Kagran
3 : 2
SV Donau
12 Jun
Kagran
2 : 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien (Am)
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Red Star Penzing

(Away)
04 Sept
Red Star Penzing
1 : 0
Slovan HAC
28 Aug
First Vienna (Am)
0 : 1
Red Star Penzing
21 Aug
Red Star Penzing
3 : 2
FC 1980 Wien
21 Jul
Langenrohr
2 : 4
Red Star Penzing
12 Jun
First Vienna (Am)
1 : 0
Red Star Penzing
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