Sport Picks
Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Fred Wright Oval, Newcastle 
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW game between Kahibah and Belmont Swansea United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kahibah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Belmont Swansea United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kahibah come out ahead of Belmont Swansea United on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Belmont Swansea United taking it.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
- Belmont Swansea United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Kahibah Clean Sheet 10%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kahibah | Belmont Swansea United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Kahibah
6:3
Jul 10, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United
0:2
Apr 24, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Belmont Swansea United vs Kahibah
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kahibah 22 / 100
Belmont Swansea United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kahibah Belmont Swansea United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kahibah found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Belmont Swansea United has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Kahibah has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kahibah VS Belmont Swansea United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Kahibah
(Home) 18 Jul
Weston Workers Bears
5 : 2 Kahibah
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2 Kahibah
03 Jul
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 1 Kahibah
24 Jun
Kahibah
1 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
21 Jun
Kahibah
4 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
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24 Jun
Kahibah
1 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
21 Jun
Kahibah
4 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
03 May
Kahibah
1 : 3 Broadmeadow Magic FC
19 Apr
Kahibah
1 : 2 Weston Workers Bears
12 Apr
Kahibah
3 : 0 Valentine
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Belmont Swansea United
(Away) 22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
20 Jun
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 0 Broadmeadow Magic FC
13 Jun
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
05 Jun
Cooks Hill United
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
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22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
13 Jun
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
05 Jun
Cooks Hill United
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
30 May
Maitland
2 : 1 Belmont Swansea United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 50:22 | 43 |
| 2 | Weston Workers Bears | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 36 |
| 3 | Maitland | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 4 | Belmont Swansea United | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 42:35 | 32 |
| 5 | Cooks Hill United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37:31 | 29 |
| 6 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34:29 | 29 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 35:31 | 22 |
| 8 | Valentine | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19:36 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle Olympic | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 38:34 | 21 |
| 10 | Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:36 | 17 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 28:46 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24:50 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
