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Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Fred Wright Oval, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Eick B.
37' Event
Burston J.
39' Event
Fayers C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Kahibah and Belmont Swansea United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kahibah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kahibah
15%
Draws
21%
Belmont Swansea United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kahibah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kahibah come out ahead of Belmont Swansea United on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Kahibah taking it.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Belmont Swansea United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Kahibah Clean Sheet 10%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahibah Belmont Swansea United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Kahibah
6:3
Jul 10, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United
0:2
Apr 24, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Belmont Swansea United vs Kahibah
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Kahibah vs Belmont Swansea United
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahibah Compare

Top Goalscorer Eick B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burston J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Belmont Swansea United Compare

Top Goalscorer Fayers C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahibah 83 / 100
Belmont Swansea United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahibah Belmont Swansea United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kahibah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahibah found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Belmont Swansea United has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Kahibah has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kahibah VS Belmont Swansea United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kahibah

(Home)
05 Sept
Kahibah
2 : 1
Newcastle Croatia
29 Aug
Kahibah
3 : 0
New Lambton
22 Aug
New Lambton
1 : 2
Kahibah
16 Aug
Kahibah
2 : 4
Cooks Hill United
12 Aug
Kahibah
1 : 2
Maitland
Page 1 of 6

Belmont Swansea United

(Away)
23 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2
Belmont Swansea United
16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3
Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 1
Lambton Jaffas FC
02 Aug
Edgeworth Eagles FC
2 : 0
Belmont Swansea United
26 Jul
Kahibah
3 : 1
Belmont Swansea United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)