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Kahibah vs Newcastle Croatia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Fred Wright Oval, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Crakanthorp O.
21' Event
Byrne D.
35' Event
Cowburn N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kahibah
15%
Draws
45%
Newcastle Croatia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Newcastle Croatia haven't matched Kahibah's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Kahibah have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kahibah, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Kahibah Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Croatia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahibah Newcastle Croatia
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 14 12
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.93 2.62
Goals Conceded 2 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Kahibah vs Newcastle Croatia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahibah Compare

Top Goalscorer Crakanthorp O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Byrne D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Newcastle Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cowburn N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahibah 30 / 100
Newcastle Croatia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahibah Newcastle Croatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahibah scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Newcastle Croatia has conceded goals in 95% of their last 21 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kahibah stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kahibah VS Newcastle Croatia
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kahibah

(Home)
05 Sept
Kahibah
2 : 1
Newcastle Croatia
29 Aug
Kahibah
3 : 0
New Lambton
22 Aug
New Lambton
1 : 2
Kahibah
16 Aug
Kahibah
2 : 4
Cooks Hill United
12 Aug
Kahibah
1 : 2
Maitland
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Croatia

(Away)
05 Sept
Kahibah
2 : 1
Newcastle Croatia
30 Aug
Wallsend Red Devils
2 : 3
Newcastle Croatia
22 Aug
Newcastle Croatia
6 : 6
Wallsend Red Devils
15 Aug
Newcastle Croatia
3 : 1
Wallsend Red Devils
08 Aug
Cessnock City Hornets
1 : 2
Newcastle Croatia
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Kahibah 5
New Lambton 1
Wallsend Red Devils 8
Newcastle Croatia 9
Final
Kahibah 2
Newcastle Croatia 1