Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kahramanmarasspor vs Erciyes 38

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Aydin E.
Assist: Yilmaz K.
41' Event
Ekici H.
Assist: Tosun M.
60' Event
Ekici H.
Assist: Tosun M.

AI Match Summary

Kahramanmarasspor host Erciyes 38 in the 3. Lig Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Kahramanmarasspor have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Erciyes 38's 1.63 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Kahramanmarasspor have won 0 to Erciyes 38's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Erciyes 38 to edge this. Erciyes 38 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kahramanmarasspor
44%
Draws
20%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Erciyes 38 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kahramanmarasspor.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Lig Group 2 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Kahramanmarasspor Clean Sheet 16%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahramanmarasspor Erciyes 38
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Kahramanmarasspor vs Erciyes 38
1:4
Dec 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Kahramanmarasspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahramanmarasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydin E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekici H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yasak C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahramanmarasspor 36 / 100
Erciyes 38 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahramanmarasspor Erciyes 38

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahramanmarasspor scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Erciyes 38 let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kahramanmarasspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Erciyes 38 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kahramanmarasspor VS Erciyes 38
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 Bingol Spor30179460:2860
2Erciyes 38301310742:3149
3Silifke301212641:2648
4Malatya30138945:3547
5Mazidagi301211732:2447
6Agri 197030129957:3345
7Karakopru301281038:4244
8Osmaniyespor301261242:4042
9Nigde301181144:3641
10Kirikkale FK301171239:5140
11Kirsehir SK307131037:3834
12Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)308101233:4234
13Kahramanmarasspor307111235:4832
14Kilis Bld.30861625:5330
15Suvermez Kapadokyaspor305131229:4728
16Turk Metal 1963304111530:5520