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Kahramanmarasspor vs Erciyes 38

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Kahramanmarasspor Logo

Kahramanmarasspor

1 - 4
FT
Erciyes 38 Logo

Erciyes 38

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Aydin E.
Assist: Yilmaz K.
41' Event
Ekici H.
Assist: Tosun M.
60' Event
Ekici H.
Assist: Tosun M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erciyes 38 in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erciyes 38.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kahramanmarasspor
35%
Draws
32%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erciyes 38 lately — more wins on the board than Kahramanmarasspor.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Kahramanmarasspor Clean Sheet 68%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahramanmarasspor Erciyes 38
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.29 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Kahramanmarasspor vs Erciyes 38
1:4
Dec 16, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Kahramanmarasspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahramanmarasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydin E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekici H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yasak C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahramanmarasspor 41 / 100
Erciyes 38 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahramanmarasspor Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kahramanmarasspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kahramanmarasspor scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Erciyes 38 conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Kahramanmarasspor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kahramanmarasspor VS Erciyes 38
1.67 Goals Scored 1.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kahramanmarasspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
12 Apr
Kahramanmarasspor
1 : 4
Erciyes 38
05 Apr
Mazidagi
0 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
29 Mar
Kahramanmarasspor
1 : 0
Kirsehir SK
25 Mar
12 Bingol Spor
1 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
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Erciyes 38

(Away)
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
06 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Erciyes 38
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 Bingol Spor 30 17 9 4 60:28 60
2 Erciyes 38 30 13 10 7 42:31 49
3 Silifke 30 12 12 6 41:26 48
4 Malatya 30 13 8 9 45:35 47
5 Mazidagi 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Agri 1970 30 12 9 9 57:33 45
7 Karakopru 30 12 8 10 38:42 44
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42:40 42
9 Nigde 30 11 8 11 44:36 41
10 Kirikkale FK 30 11 7 12 39:51 40
11 Kirsehir SK 30 7 13 10 37:38 34
12 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 8 10 12 33:42 34
13 Kahramanmarasspor 30 7 11 12 35:48 32
14 Kilis Bld. 30 8 6 16 25:53 30
15 Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 29:47 28
16 Turk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 30:55 20
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)