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Kahramanmarasspor vs Umraniyespor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kahramanmarasspor play Umraniyespor in the Turkish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kahramanmarasspor averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Umraniyespor averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Kahramanmarasspor won 1, Umraniyespor won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 28, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Kahramanmarasspor and 1.31 for Umraniyespor. This points to a Umraniyespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kahramanmarasspor
33%
Draws
27%
Umraniyespor
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kahramanmarasspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Umraniyespor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kahramanmarasspor.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Kahramanmarasspor.
  • Cup tournament structure in Turkish Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Kahramanmarasspor Clean Sheet 68%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahramanmarasspor Umraniyespor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Turkish Cup
Kahramanmarasspor vs Umraniyespor
4:0
Oct 28, 2021 Turkish Cup
Umraniyespor vs Kahramanmarasspor
3:1
Jan 31, 2016 2. Lig White Group
Umraniyespor vs Kahramanmarasspor
3:1
Sep 19, 2015 2. Lig White Group
Kahramanmarasspor vs Umraniyespor
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahramanmarasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydin E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cakmak H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Umraniyespor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahramanmarasspor 50 / 100
Umraniyespor 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahramanmarasspor Umraniyespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahramanmarasspor scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Umraniyespor let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kahramanmarasspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Umraniyespor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kahramanmarasspor VS Umraniyespor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Karakopru7
Hakkari Zap1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)0
Bitlis 19163
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rizespor-
Duzcespor-
TBD-
TBD-
Pendikspor-
Corluspor-
TBD-
TBD-
Ayvalikgucu-
Silifke-
TBD-
K. Istklalspor2
Kilis Bld.1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Amedspor-
Antalyaspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Etimesgut0
Karadeniz Eregli1
Bursaspor7
Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu0
Trabzonspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastamonuspor-
TBD-
Yozgat1
Fatsa Bld.2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vanspor FK-
Bucaspor 19280
Izmir Coruhlu2
Isparta 32 Spor4
Kirsehir SK0
Silivrispor-
TBD-
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Goztepe-
Dersim Spor3
Adanaspor AS0
Kurtalanspor1
Sanliurfaspor4
Kestel Cilekspor2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu1
Fethiyespor2
Soke 19700
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bandirmaspor-
Musspor8
Sirnak0
TBD-
Mazidagi-
Menemenspor-
TBD-
Bartinspor1
Eskisehir Anadolu3
Konyaspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Elazigspor-
TBD-
12 Bingol Spor3
Mardin 19690
Arnavutkoy Bl.2
Beykoz Ishakli Spor3
TBD-
Karacabey Bld.-
Malatya5
Yeni Malatyaspor0
TBD-
Adana 01-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kocaelispor-
Kirklarelispor1
Galata Spor Kulubu2
TBD-
Beykoz Anadolu-
Balikesirspor-
TBD-
Yesil Yalova FK2
Bursa Nilufer0
Gaziantep-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ankaragucu2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu3
Guzide Gebzespor6
Bulvarspor2
Kars 36 Spor0
24Erzincanspor1
Bulancakspor2
Hopaspor1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Igdir FK-
TBD-
Orduspor 1967-
TBD-
TBD-
Erbaaspor2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor1
TBD-
Pazarspor-
Sakaryaspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kucukcekmece-
TBD-
Inegolspor2
Ezinespor0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Genclerbirligi-
Istanbulspor AS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bayburt Ozel Idare0
Giresunspor7
TBD-
52 Orduspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sariyer-
Boluspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kahta2
Iskenderunspor1
TBD-
Adanademirspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kasimpasa-
Erokspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Agri 1970-
TBD-
TBD-
Batman Petrolspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
F. Karagumruk-
Eyupspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Edirnespor Genclik0
Soma Spor3
1926 Polatli Belediye1
Cankaya FK2
Amasyaspor-
TBD-
Trabzon FK4
Serhat Ardahanspor0
Kahramanmarasspor1
Osmaniyespor0
Karaman FK2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Umraniyespor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzurumspor FK-
Corum FK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kutahyaspor-
TBD-
TBD-
Altinordu-
Karsiyaka-
TBD-
Bursa Yildirimspor2
Altay0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alanyaspor-
Bucak Belediyesi1
Kepez Bld.2
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu2
Nazillispor0
Sivasspor-
TBD-
Cayeli SK1
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu2
Bornova 18773
Afyonspor0
Aliaga2
Inegol Kafkas1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Serik Spor-
Hatayspor-
TBD-
Erciyes 382
Turk Metal 19630
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Keciorengucu-
Kayserispor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu0
Nigde2
TBD-
Aksaray Bld.-
Kirikkale FK-
TBD-
TBD-
Manisa FK-
Ankaraspor1
Eskisehirspor2
Alanya 12210
Muglaspor3
1074 Cankirispor0
Ankara Demirspor3
TBD-
Zonguldak Komurspor-
Tire 2021 FK-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodrumspor-
Quarter-finals
Karakopru2
Bitlis 19161
TBD-
Rizespor-
Duzcespor3
Pendikspor4
Corluspor2
Ayvalikgucu1
Silifke7
K. Istklalspor1
TBD-
Amedspor-
Antalyaspor-
TBD-
Karadeniz Eregli1
Bursaspor2
Trabzonspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastamonuspor3
Fatsa Bld.4
TBD-
Vanspor FK-
Izmir Coruhlu0
Isparta 32 Spor3
Silivrispor1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Goztepe-
Dersim Spor2
Sanliurfaspor0
Kestel Cilekspor0
Fethiyespor1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bandirmaspor-
Musspor5
Mazidagi0
Menemenspor2
Eskisehir Anadolu1
Konyaspor-
TBD-
Elazigspor2
12 Bingol Spor3
Beykoz Ishakli Spor0
Karacabey Bld.2
Malatya3
Adana 012
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kocaelispor-
Galata Spor Kulubu1
Beykoz Anadolu5
Balikesirspor1
Yesil Yalova FK2
Gaziantep-
TBD-
Karabuk Idmanyurdu1
Guzide Gebzespor0
24Erzincanspor0
Bulancakspor2
TBD-
Igdir FK-
Orduspor 1967-
TBD-
Erbaaspor2
Pazarspor0
Sakaryaspor-
TBD-
Kucukcekmece1
Inegolspor3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Genclerbirligi-
Istanbulspor AS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Giresunspor1
52 Orduspor2
TBD-
Sariyer-
Boluspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kahta2
Adanademirspor1
TBD-
Kasimpasa-
Erokspor-
TBD-
Agri 19704
Batman Petrolspor1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
F. Karagumruk-
Eyupspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Soma Spor1
Cankaya FK3
Amasyaspor0
Trabzon FK1
Kahramanmarasspor1
Karaman FK0
TBD-
Umraniyespor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzurumspor FK-
Corum FK-
TBD-
Kutahyaspor3
Altinordu1
Karsiyaka0
Bursa Yildirimspor1
TBD-
Alanyaspor-
Kepez Bld.1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu0
Sivasspor2
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu1
Bornova 18770
Aliaga6
TBD-
Serik Spor-
Hatayspor2
Erciyes 383
TBD-
Keciorengucu-
Kayserispor-
TBD-
Nigde3
Aksaray Bld.1
Kirikkale FK0
Manisa FK2
Eskisehirspor0
Muglaspor3
Ankara Demirspor2
Zonguldak Komurspor3
Tire 2021 FK0
Bodrumspor1
Semi-finals
Karakopru0
Rizespor3
Pendikspor3
Corluspor2
Silifke3
Amedspor0
Antalyaspor3
Bursaspor0
Trabzonspor-
TBD-
Fatsa Bld.3
Vanspor FK4
Isparta 32 Spor0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi2
TBD-
Goztepe-
Dersim Spor0
Fethiyespor3
TBD-
Bandirmaspor-
Musspor1
Menemenspor0
Konyaspor4
12 Bingol Spor2
Karacabey Bld.3
Malatya1
TBD-
Kocaelispor-
Beykoz Anadolu1
Yesil Yalova FK3
Gaziantep2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu0
Bulancakspor1
Igdir FK3
Orduspor 19674
Erbaaspor2
Sakaryaspor4
Inegolspor0
TBD-
Genclerbirligi-
Istanbulspor AS-
TBD-
52 Orduspor0
Sariyer2
Boluspor-
TBD-
Kahta3
Kasimpasa1
Erokspor3
Agri 19700
TBD-
F. Karagumruk-
Eyupspor-
TBD-
Cankaya FK2
Trabzon FK0
Kahramanmarasspor4
Umraniyespor0
TBD-
Erzurumspor FK-
Corum FK3
Kutahyaspor0
Bursa Yildirimspor1
Alanyaspor2
Kepez Bld.1
Sivasspor3
Aliaga4
Serik Spor3
Erciyes 382
Keciorengucu5
Kayserispor1
Nigde0
Manisa FK0
Muglaspor2
Zonguldak Komurspor0
Bodrumspor5
Final
Rizespor6
Pendikspor1
Silifke0
Antalyaspor1
Trabzonspor2
Vanspor FK0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi1
Goztepe0
Fethiyespor4
Bandirmaspor1
Musspor1
Konyaspor4
Karacabey Bld.1
Kocaelispor2
Yesil Yalova FK0
Gaziantep2
Igdir FK3
Orduspor 19672
Sakaryaspor0
Genclerbirligi5
Istanbulspor AS6
Sariyer0
Boluspor2
Kahta1
Erokspor2
F. Karagumruk5
Eyupspor6
Cankaya FK1
Kahramanmarasspor1
Erzurumspor FK3
Corum FK0
Alanyaspor5
Sivasspor1
Aliaga3
Keciorengucu2
Kayserispor0
Muglaspor1
Bodrumspor2