Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2023

Match Events

Kukeyev Z.

57'

Mukhit A.

60'

Kenzhebek G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty 2 host FC Astana 2 in the First Division 2023. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Kairat Almaty 2 have averaged 3.63 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against FC Astana 2's 2.38 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Kairat Almaty 2 slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.69 xG vs 1.38) point toward Kairat Almaty 2. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kairat Almaty 2

Draws

FC Astana 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Kairat Almaty 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Astana 2.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Kairat Almaty 2.
League standings and seasonal metrics in First Division 2023 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 17%

FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kairat Almaty 2	FC Astana 2
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	20	11
Draws	5	2
Losses	5	16
Goals Scored	3.63	2.38
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	3.63	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 First League

FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:3

Sep 15, 2023 First League

Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Astana 2

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

5:1

May 25, 2023 First League

FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Oct 17, 2022 First League

FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Jul 10, 2022 First League

Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Astana 2

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akhmedov A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kukeyev Z.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.79

Avg xA / game 1.81

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyulupov V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 2 84 / 100

FC Astana 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kairat Almaty 2 FC Astana 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

FC Astana 2 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Kairat Almaty 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Astana 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty 2 VS FC Astana 2

3.63 Goals Scored 2.38

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yelimay Semey	28	24	4	0	76:17	76
2	Turan	28	22	3	3	85:27	69
3	Zhenis	28	19	3	6	64:33	60
4	Akzhayik Uralsk	28	17	3	8	63:29	54
5	FK Kyran	28	16	2	10	55:57	50
6	Kairat Almaty 2	28	10	5	13	58:53	35
7	Khan Tengri	28	10	5	13	39:38	35
8	Arys	28	10	3	15	40:62	33
9	Jas Qyran	28	9	5	14	50:53	32
10	Turkistan	28	9	5	14	47:58	32
11	Taraz	28	9	4	15	47:57	31
12	FC Ekibastuz	28	8	7	13	46:64	31
13	Aktobe 2	28	7	2	19	37:77	23
14	Akademiya Ontustik	28	5	6	17	46:75	21
15	FC Astana 2	28	6	1	21	32:85	19