Sport Picks
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Astana 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
First League 
Match Events
53'
53'
Malaev K.
69'
69'
Kaltanov A.
(Penalty)
79'
79'
Tolendi A.
Assist: Vardanyan A.
AI Match Summary
The First League game between Kairat Almaty 2 and FC Astana 2 finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Kairat Almaty 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Kairat Almaty 2's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 18%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kairat Almaty 2 | FC Astana 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.7 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Astana 2
2:2
Jun 18, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:3
Sep 15, 2023 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs FC Astana 2
5:1
May 25, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
3:1
Oct 17, 2022 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kairat Almaty 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Malaev K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zhilkaidar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
FC Astana 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Tolendi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kairat Almaty 2 85 / 100
FC Astana 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kairat Almaty 2 FC Astana 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kairat Almaty 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kairat Almaty 2 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
FC Astana 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Kairat Almaty 2 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kairat Almaty 2 VS FC Astana 2
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Kairat Almaty 2
(Home) 09 Oct
Taraz
1 : 1 Kairat Almaty 2
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty 2
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2 FC Astana 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1 Kairat Almaty 2
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0 Arys
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2 FC Astana 2
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0 Arys
13 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
0 : 0 Akademiya Ontustik
31 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2 Jaiyq
17 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
6 : 0 Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 3
FC Astana 2
(Away) 08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0 FC Astana 2
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1 FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2 FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0 Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0 FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0 FC Astana 2
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2 FC Astana 2
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0 FC Astana 2
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0 FC Astana 2
07 Aug
Turan
5 : 1 FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 66:8 | 65 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 67:13 | 57 |
| 3 | Turan | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 52:22 | 51 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 36:29 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Astana 2 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 42:49 | 33 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 22:27 | 32 |
| 7 | Taraz | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 31:33 | 31 |
| 8 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 35:41 | 28 |
| 9 | Arys | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32:54 | 27 |
| 11 | Khan Tengri | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30:45 | 26 |
| 12 | Aktobe 2 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 42:73 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 44:61 | 17 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 19:50 | 12 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)
