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Kairat Almaty 2 vs Jaiyq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Petrik Y.
Assist: Kerimkhan E.
13' Event
Bazarbaev A.
Assist: Tashpulatov D.
75' Event
Kubashev C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Kairat Almaty 2
35%
Draws
20%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 have won more games recently than Jaiyq.
  • Model gives Kairat Almaty 2 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty 2 Jaiyq
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 19 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.72 0.92
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Jaiyq
2:2
May 2, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Kairat Almaty 2
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrik Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bazarbaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Kubashev C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 2 58 / 100
Jaiyq 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty 2 Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kairat Almaty 2 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Kairat Almaty 2 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jaiyq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty 2 VS Jaiyq
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty 2

(Home)
09 Oct
Taraz
1 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
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Jaiyq

(Away)
09 Oct
Jaiyq
1 : 1
Turan
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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