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Kairat Almaty 2 vs Kaspij Aktau 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Zhazmagambetov Z.
Own Goal
26' Event
Makhametzhan K.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Petrik Y.
Assist: Toleukhan A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Kairat Almaty 2 and Kaspij Aktau 2 finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Kairat Almaty 2
20%
Draws
17%
Kaspij Aktau 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty 2's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty 2 Kaspij Aktau 2
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.72 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Kaspij Aktau 2
6:0
Apr 16, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrik Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toleukhan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 2 86 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty 2 Kaspij Aktau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty 2 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Kairat Almaty 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kaspij Aktau 2 let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty 2 VS Kaspij Aktau 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty 2

(Home)
09 Oct
Taraz
1 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
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Kaspij Aktau 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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