Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Kaspij Aktau 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Zhazmagambetov Z.
Own Goal
26' Event
Makhametzhan K.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Petrik Y.
Assist: Toleukhan A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Kairat Almaty 2 and Kaspij Aktau 2 finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kairat Almaty 2
6%
Draws
4%
Kaspij Aktau 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty 2 Kaspij Aktau 2
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 21 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 3.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Kaspij Aktau 2
6:0
Apr 16, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrik Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toleukhan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 2 95 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty 2 Kaspij Aktau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty 2 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Kaspij Aktau 2 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kairat Almaty 2 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty 2 VS Kaspij Aktau 2
3.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417