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Kairat Almaty U19 vs MTK Budapest U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League Kairat Academy, Almaty
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the UEFA Youth League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kairat Almaty U19 at 2 goals for, 2.5 against; MTK Budapest U19 at 1.4 for, 1.73 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.90 - 1.93) back Kairat Almaty U19 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Kairat Almaty U19
15%
Draws
40%
MTK Budapest U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat Almaty U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kairat Almaty U19 come out ahead of MTK Budapest U19 on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty U19 taking it.
  • Kairat Almaty U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kairat Almaty U19 Clean Sheet 10%
MTK Budapest U19 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty U19 MTK Budapest U19
Matches Played 22 15
Wins 8 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty U19 83 / 100
MTK Budapest U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty U19 MTK Budapest U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty U19 scored in 82% of their last 22 games.

Defensive concern: MTK Budapest U19 conceded in 80% of 15 recent games.

Kairat Almaty U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

MTK Budapest U19's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty U19 VS MTK Budapest U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
3 Goals Conceded 0.29
100% Over 1.5 29%
88% Over 2.5 14%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty U19

(Home)
14 Oct
Kairat Almaty U19
8 : 1
Mladost DG U19
15 Sept
Mladost DG U19
0 : 5
Kairat Almaty U19
09 Dec
Kairat Almaty U19
2 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
26 Nov
FC Copenhagen U19
2 : 2
Kairat Almaty U19
05 Nov
Inter U19
3 : 0
Kairat Almaty U19
Page 1 of 5

MTK Budapest U19

(Away)
08 Feb
MTK Budapest U19
0 : 1
Ajax U19
02 Nov
MTK Budapest U19
0 : 1
SC Ashdod U19
26 Oct
SC Ashdod U19
0 : 2
MTK Budapest U19
05 Oct
Jelgava U19
0 : 1
MTK Budapest U19
14 Sept
MTK Budapest U19
3 : 0
Jelgava U19
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Flora U19 7
HB Torshavn U19 1
TBD -
Chelsea U19 -
St. Patricks U19 -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri U19 3
Zalgiris U19 6
Hammarby U19 -
TBD -
Cliftonville U19 0
Super Nova U19 1
Legia U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont U19 -
HJK U19 8
FC Ballkani U19 1
TBD -
Zilina U19 -
Stabaek U19 -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University U19 4
UNA Strassen U19 1
Valletta U19 0
Partizani U19 6
TBD -
Hradec Kralove U19 -
MTK Budapest U19 -
TBD -
Mladost DG U19 1
Kairat Almaty U19 13
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 7
Din. Minsk U19 6
TBD -
FC Copenhagen U19 -
Fiorentina U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia U19 -
FC Santa Coloma U19 0
Brera Strumica U19 11
TBD -
Hoffenheim U19 -
PAOK U19 -
TBD -
Zrinjski U19 10
Lincoln Red Imps U19 1
Genk U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg U19 -
Bravo U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Crvena zvezda U19 -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers U19 -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe U19 -
Qarabag Agdam U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb U19 -
Benfica U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos U19 -
F. Constanta U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 -
Zurich U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 -
Semi-finals
Flora U19 -
Chelsea U19 -
St. Patricks U19 -
Zalgiris U19 -
Hammarby U19 -
Super Nova U19 -
Legia U19 -
Clermont U19 -
HJK U19 -
Zilina U19 -
Stabaek U19 -
Cardiff Metropolitan University U19 -
Partizani U19 -
Hradec Kralove U19 -
MTK Budapest U19 -
Kairat Almaty U19 -
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 -
FC Copenhagen U19 -
Fiorentina U19 -
Septemvri Sofia U19 -
Brera Strumica U19 -
Hoffenheim U19 -
PAOK U19 -
Zrinjski U19 -
Genk U19 -
Salzburg U19 -
Bravo U19 -
Crvena zvezda U19 -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
Rangers U19 -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
Goztepe U19 -
Qarabag Agdam U19 -
Din. Zagreb U19 -
Benfica U19 -
Pafos U19 -
F. Constanta U19 -
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 -
Zurich U19 -
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -