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Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Turkestan Arena, Turkestan
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Everton Bala
13' Event
Reinaldo
Assist: Everton Bala
45'
Baybek O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kairat Almaty
35%
Draws
38%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levski Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Kairat Almaty.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Levski Sofia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Levski Sofia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 16%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty Levski Sofia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.79 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Champions League
Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia
0:1
Aug 4, 2026 Champions League
Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Levski Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinaldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 31 / 100
Levski Sofia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kairat Almaty went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Levski Sofia conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty VS Levski Sofia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty

(Home)
25 Oct
Aktobe
2 : 2
Kairat Almaty
22 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 5
Panathinaikos
18 Oct
Kairat Almaty
5 : 0
Ertis Pavlodar
15 Oct
Riga FC
1 : 1
Kairat Almaty
10 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Page 1 of 6

Levski Sofia

(Away)
27 Oct
Arda
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
22 Oct
Plzen
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
18 Oct
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
15 Oct
Nijmegen
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah FC 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah FC 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah FC 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah FC 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6