Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Jorginho G. In: Jukkola O.
Out: Jorginho G.
14' Event
Gual M.
Assist: Mata L.
47'
Lucas Africo

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kairat Almaty
33%
Draws
27%
Ordabasy
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty haven't matched Ordabasy's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 16%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty Ordabasy
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 21
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 2.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy
2:1
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
May 14, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Gual M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jukkola O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 39 / 100
Ordabasy 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty Ordabasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ordabasy conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kairat Almaty stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty VS Ordabasy
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty

(Home)
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Ordabasy
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3
Kairat Almaty
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Sutjeska
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Ordabasy

(Away)
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Ordabasy
19 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Yelimay Semey
15 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Altai
11 Jul
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 2
Ordabasy
05 Jul
Ordabasy
1 : 0
Ulytau
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty20136139:1445
2Ordabasy19134234:1543
3FC Astana1895429:2032
4Aktobe1994628:2131
5Okzhetpes1986525:2630
6Yelimay Semey1876526:2327
7Ulytau1976616:1827
8Tobol1964921:2622
9Zhenis1957717:2322
10Kaspij Aktau19631019:2521
11Kaisar Kyzylorda20311615:2220
12Kyzylzhar19541020:2719
13Atyrau1839613:1718
14Zhetysu Taldykorgan1946922:2918
15Altai1937915:2616
16Ertis Pavlodar1828816:2314
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)