Sport Picks
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
Premier League Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sub
Jorginho G. In: Jukkola O.
Out: Jorginho G.
14'
14'
Gual M.
Assist: Mata L.
47'
47'
Lucas Africo
AI Match Summary
Kairat Almaty in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kairat Almaty haven't matched Ordabasy's recent run of results.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Ordabasy taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 15%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kairat Almaty | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 22 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy
2:1
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
0:1
May 14, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ordabasy
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kairat Almaty Compare
Top Goalscorer Gual M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jukkola O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ordabasy Compare
Top Goalscorer Johnsen B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kairat Almaty 23 / 100
Ordabasy 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kairat Almaty Ordabasy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kairat Almaty's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Kairat Almaty has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ordabasy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Kairat Almaty VS Ordabasy
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kairat Almaty
(Home) 10 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
20 Aug
Kairat Almaty
0 : 3 Anderlecht
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1 Ulytau
Page 1 of 3
Ordabasy
(Away) 17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0 FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0 Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
08 Aug
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 4 Ordabasy
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 52:20 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:27 | 48 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41:32 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 36:36 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35:36 | 37 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:40 | 27 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 20:29 | 26 |
| 13 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26:36 | 26 |
| 14 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 15 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26:45 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
