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Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Aksu Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League 2024 Gani Muratbayev, Kyzylorda
Sat, Oct 5, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaisar Kyzylorda host Aksu in the Premier League 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Kaisar Kyzylorda at 1.07 goals for, 1.27 against; Aksu at 1.5 for, 2.75 against. Head-to-head, Kaisar Kyzylorda have won 0 to Aksu's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.13) point toward Kaisar Kyzylorda. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Kaisar Kyzylorda
15%
Draws
41%
Aksu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaisar Kyzylorda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaisar Kyzylorda come out ahead of Aksu on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 20%
Aksu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaisar Kyzylorda Aksu
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 8 1
Draws 11 0
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Aksu
0:0
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Aksu vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Premier League
Aksu vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:0
Mar 14, 2023 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Aksu
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaisar Kyzylorda 32 / 100
Aksu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaisar Kyzylorda Aksu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aksu has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

Kaisar Kyzylorda's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Aksu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaisar Kyzylorda VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaisar Kyzylorda

(Home)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6

Aksu

(Away)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kairat Almaty 24 14 5 5 39:21 47
2 FC Astana 24 14 4 6 39:19 46
3 Aktobe 24 12 7 5 39:26 43
4 Ordabasy 24 12 6 6 36:24 42
5 Tobol 24 11 6 7 33:23 39
6 Yelimay Semey 24 10 7 7 35:32 37
7 Atyrau 24 9 8 7 28:20 35
8 Kaisar Kyzylorda 24 9 7 8 28:29 34
9 Kyzylzhar 24 8 5 11 29:26 29
10 Zhenis 24 6 6 12 18:32 24
11 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 24 5 8 11 17:33 23
12 Turan 24 5 5 14 16:39 20
13 Shakhter Karagandy 24 2 4 18 12:45 10
14 Aksu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)