Sport Picks
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakhstan
Premier League Kaysar Arena, Kyzylorda 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sovet S.
39'
39'
Mukhammed A.
48'
48'
Sub
Agimanov T. In: Iyede S.
Out: Agimanov T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kaisar Kyzylorda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ertis Pavlodar lately — more wins on the board than Kaisar Kyzylorda.
- Win probability leans Kaisar Kyzylorda's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 68%
Ertis Pavlodar Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Ertis Pavlodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ertis Pavlodar
0:0
Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Ertis Pavlodar vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:2
Oct 31, 2020 Premier League
Ertis Pavlodar vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
0:0
Aug 8, 2020 Premier League
Ertis Pavlodar vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
0:0
Mar 8, 2020 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ertis Pavlodar
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaisar Kyzylorda 68 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaisar Kyzylorda Ertis Pavlodar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kaisar Kyzylorda found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Ertis Pavlodar conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Kaisar Kyzylorda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ertis Pavlodar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Kaisar Kyzylorda VS Ertis Pavlodar
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaisar Kyzylorda
(Home) 18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
12 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
05 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
28 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar
1 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
20 Jun
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ulytau
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
05 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
20 Jun
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ulytau
28 May
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Yelimay Semey
17 May
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 1 Tobol
Page 1 of 3
Ertis Pavlodar
(Away) 11 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 1 Zhenis
05 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
28 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar
1 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
20 Jun
Zhenis
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
14 Jun
FC Astana
2 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
20 Jun
Zhenis
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
14 Jun
FC Astana
2 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
22 May
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar
09 May
Tobol
1 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 43 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37:13 | 42 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:24 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Ulytau | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 15:16 | 27 |
| 7 | Yelimay Semey | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:22 | 26 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Tobol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:26 | 19 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Atyrau | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:27 | 18 |
| 13 | Kaspij Aktau | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18:26 | 16 |
| 15 | Altai | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | 11 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)