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Kajaanin Haka vs Vaajakoski

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kajaanin Haka play Vaajakoski in the Kakkonen Group C 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kajaanin Haka averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Vaajakoski averaged 2.24 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Kajaanin Haka won 0, Vaajakoski won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 28, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Kajaanin Haka and 3.13 for Vaajakoski. This points to a Vaajakoski double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Kajaanin Haka
28%
Draws
47%
Vaajakoski
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Kajaanin Haka picked up more points recently compared to Vaajakoski.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 3.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kajaanin Haka Clean Sheet 10%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kajaanin Haka Vaajakoski
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.37 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.17 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2022 Kakkonen Group C
Kajaanin Haka vs Vaajakoski
1:2
May 14, 2022 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Kajaanin Haka
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Kajaanin Haka
5:3
Jun 14, 2019 Kakkonen Group C
Kajaanin Haka vs Vaajakoski
1:2
Aug 22, 2010 Kakkonen Group C
Kajaanin Haka vs Vaajakoski
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kajaanin Haka Compare

Top Goalscorer Melo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarlin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Loukiainen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kajaanin Haka 25 / 100
Vaajakoski 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kajaanin Haka Vaajakoski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vaajakoski or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kajaanin Haka attacking → ← attacking Vaajakoski

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kajaanin Haka scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Vaajakoski let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Kajaanin Haka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vaajakoski lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 51
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1JJK Jyvaskyla22174151:1355
2VIFK22153437:1848
3JS Hercules22114738:2637
4OLS Oulu22104836:2434
5Narpes Kraft2297629:2634
6RoPS Rovaniemi2288637:3132
7OTP22731228:3524
8Vaajakoski22651126:3323
9GBK Kokkola22651134:4623
10JBK22651124:3723
11Kajaanin Haka22471130:4519
12Komeetat22431516:5215