Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kakamega Homeboyz vs APS Bomet Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mudavadi M.
47' Event
Masibo J.
50' Event
Batambuze S.

AI Match Summary

Kakamega Homeboyz in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kakamega Homeboyz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Kakamega Homeboyz
30%
Draws
61%
APS Bomet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kakamega Homeboyz haven't matched APS Bomet's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kakamega Homeboyz taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kakamega Homeboyz Clean Sheet 68%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kakamega Homeboyz APS Bomet
Matches Played 24 26
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs APS Bomet
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Kakamega Homeboyz
1:2
Apr 30, 2023 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs APS Bomet
0:0
Nov 26, 2022 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Kakamega Homeboyz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kakamega Homeboyz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mudavadi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Batambuze S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

APS Bomet Compare

Top Goalscorer Masibo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kakamega Homeboyz 51 / 100
APS Bomet 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kakamega Homeboyz APS Bomet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kakamega Homeboyz scored in 75% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

APS Bomet let in goals in 50% of their last 26 matches.

Solid form: Kakamega Homeboyz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kakamega Homeboyz VS APS Bomet
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kakamega Homeboyz

(Home)
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2
Kakamega Homeboyz
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 5

APS Bomet

(Away)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)