Sport Picks
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kariobangi Sharks
Kenya
Premier League 
Match Events
2'
2'
Mudavadi M.
57'
57'
Otieno H.
AI Match Summary
Kakamega Homeboyz in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kakamega Homeboyz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kariobangi Sharks
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kakamega Homeboyz lately — more wins on the board than Kariobangi Sharks.
- Win probability leans Kariobangi Sharks's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kakamega Homeboyz Clean Sheet 27%
Kariobangi Sharks Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kakamega Homeboyz | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Kakamega Homeboyz
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kariobangi Sharks
2:0
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Kakamega Homeboyz
0:2
Sep 30, 2024 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Kariobangi Sharks
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kakamega Homeboyz Compare
Top Goalscorer Mudavadi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Otieno H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Kariobangi Sharks Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kakamega Homeboyz 10 / 100
Kariobangi Sharks 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kakamega Homeboyz Kariobangi Sharks
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kakamega Homeboyz scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Kariobangi Sharks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Kakamega Homeboyz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kakamega Homeboyz VS Kariobangi Sharks
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kakamega Homeboyz
(Home) 31 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kakamega Homeboyz
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2 Leopards
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0 Kakamega Homeboyz
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1 Mahia
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2 Leopards
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1 Mahia
12 Apr
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
04 Apr
Kakamega Homeboyz
3 : 0 Mathare United
22 Mar
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 1 Bandari
Page 1 of 3
Kariobangi Sharks
(Away) 31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kariobangi Sharks
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0 Nairobi United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kariobangi Sharks
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
10 Apr
Tusker
1 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
04 Apr
Mahia
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
29 Mar
Leopards
1 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
