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Kakamega Homeboyz vs Shabana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kakamega Homeboyz host Shabana in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Kakamega Homeboyz at 1.35 goals for, 1.04 against; Shabana at 0.83 for, 0.87 against. Head-to-head, Kakamega Homeboyz have won 2 to Shabana's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 0.32, favoring Shabana. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kakamega Homeboyz
35%
Draws
37%
Shabana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shabana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Shabana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kakamega Homeboyz Clean Sheet 20%
Shabana Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kakamega Homeboyz Shabana
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.35 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Kakamega Homeboyz
1:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Shabana
2:2
Apr 13, 2025 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Shabana
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs Kakamega Homeboyz
4:1
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Shabana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kakamega Homeboyz 31 / 100
Shabana 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kakamega Homeboyz Shabana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kakamega Homeboyz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kakamega Homeboyz found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (23 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Kakamega Homeboyz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Shabana conceded in 39% of 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kakamega Homeboyz VS Shabana
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kakamega Homeboyz

(Home)
18 Oct
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
14 Oct
Mombasa United
0 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2
Kakamega Homeboyz
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
Page 1 of 5

Shabana

(Away)
18 Oct
Shabana
0 : 0
Nairobi United
10 Oct
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Shabana
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mara Sugar 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
3 Leopards 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Kakamega Homeboyz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Shabana 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 KCB 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Muranga 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
8 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Posta Rangers 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
10 3K FC 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
11 Nairobi United 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Bandari 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Migori 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Police FC 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Mathare United 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
16 APS Bomet 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
17 Ulinzi Stars 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
18 Mombasa United 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)