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Kalamata vs PAOK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Kalamata Metropolitan Stadium, Kalamata
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Kalamata at 1.69 goals for, 0.93 against; PAOK at 1.81 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Kalamata have won 1 to PAOK's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.69, favoring Kalamata. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kalamata
15%
Draws
42%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalamata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kalamata come out ahead of PAOK on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kalamata taking it.
  • Kalamata have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PAOK, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 13%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalamata PAOK
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Kalamata
1:3
Jan 10, 2023 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Kalamata
2:0
Dec 14, 2022 Greek Cup
Kalamata vs PAOK
0:2
Jan 27, 2001 Super League
PAOK vs Kalamata
7:1
Sep 15, 2000 Super League
Kalamata vs PAOK
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalamata 35 / 100
PAOK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalamata PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Kalamata scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

PAOK has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Kalamata has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kalamata VS PAOK
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalamata

(Home)
28 Oct
Chrisoupolis
0 : 2
Kalamata
25 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
5 : 0
Kalamata
18 Oct
Kalamata
4 : 3
OFI Crete
12 Oct
PAOK
1 : 3
Kalamata
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
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PAOK

(Away)
25 Oct
OFI Crete
2 : 1
PAOK
18 Oct
PAOK
2 : 1
Iraklis FC
12 Oct
PAOK
1 : 3
Kalamata
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 2 2 0 0 10:1 6
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 OFI Crete 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
5 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Aris 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 PAOK 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Kifisia 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Atromitos 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Niki Volos 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
11 Kalamata 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Volos 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
13 Marko 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 AEL Larissa 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
15 Chrisoupolis 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Panserraikos 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)