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Kalewa vs Nchanga Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalewa play Nchanga Rangers in the Super League 2011. Nchanga Rangers are favorites here. Recently, Kalewa averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Nchanga Rangers averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. In past meetings, Kalewa won 0, Nchanga Rangers won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 27, 2011 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Kalewa and 1.11 for Nchanga Rangers. This points to a Nchanga Rangers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kalewa
19%
Draws
63%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Nchanga Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Kalewa picked up more points recently compared to Nchanga Rangers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Kalewa Clean Sheet 21%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalewa Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.57 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.78

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2011 Super League
Kalewa vs Nchanga Rangers
1:2
Apr 25, 2011 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Kalewa
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalewa 20 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalewa Nchanga Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nchanga Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nchanga Rangers & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalewa attacking → ← attacking Nchanga Rangers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalewa scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Nchanga Rangers let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Kalewa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nchanga Rangers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 46
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Power Dynamos30185749:1859
2Red Arrows301411541:2353
3Konkola Blades301311628:1850
4Nchanga Rangers30147923:1849
5Green Buffaloes FC30139831:2448
6Zesco30138933:1947
7Nkana301371035:2946
8Zanaco301281037:3144
9Forest Rangers301012830:2642
10Nakambala Leopards301251324:3541
11Green Eagles309111021:2338
12Roan United308101227:3534
13Kabwe30861622:2830
14Lime Hotspurs30861621:3430
15Nkwazi30771628:5328
16Kalewa30452117:5317