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Kalewa vs Nkana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2011
Kalewa Logo

Kalewa

1 - 3
FT
Nkana Logo

Nkana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nkana in this Super League 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nkana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Kalewa
20%
Draws
70%
Nkana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nkana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Nkana have won more games recently than Kalewa.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Nkana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Kalewa Clean Sheet 20%
Nkana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalewa Nkana
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.57 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2011 Super League
Kalewa vs Nkana
1:3
Jun 11, 2011 Super League
Nkana vs Kalewa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalewa 10 / 100
Nkana 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalewa Nkana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nkana let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kalewa scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Kalewa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nkana
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalewa

(Home)
12 Nov
Lime Hotspurs
1 : 0
Kalewa
29 Oct
Kalewa
0 : 0
Roan United
26 Oct
Konkola Blades
2 : 0
Kalewa
15 Oct
Forest Rangers
3 : 0
Kalewa
09 Oct
Kalewa
1 : 3
Nkana
Page 1 of 6

Nkana

(Away)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 30 18 5 7 49:18 59
2 Red Arrows 30 14 11 5 41:23 53
3 Konkola Blades 30 13 11 6 28:18 50
4 Nchanga Rangers 30 14 7 9 23:18 49
5 Green Buffaloes FC 30 13 9 8 31:24 48
6 Zesco 30 13 8 9 33:19 47
7 Nkana 30 13 7 10 35:29 46
8 Zanaco 30 12 8 10 37:31 44
9 Forest Rangers 30 10 12 8 30:26 42
10 Nakambala Leopards 30 12 5 13 24:35 41
11 Green Eagles 30 9 11 10 21:23 38
12 Roan United 30 8 10 12 27:35 34
13 Kabwe 30 8 6 16 22:28 30
14 Lime Hotspurs 30 8 6 16 21:34 30
15 Nkwazi 30 7 7 16 28:53 28
16 Kalewa 30 4 5 21 17:53 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2012 (Qualification)