Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaliakra vs Dobrudzha

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2017/2018 game between Kaliakra and Dobrudzha finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dobrudzha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kaliakra
20%
Draws
20%
Dobrudzha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaliakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Kaliakra's 1.47 goals per match outpaces what Dobrudzha have produced (1.09).
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Kaliakra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dobrudzha have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kaliakra Clean Sheet 20%
Dobrudzha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaliakra Dobrudzha
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Dobrudzha
1:4
Mar 14, 2018 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Dobrudzha
1:5
Sep 30, 2017 Third League - North-East
Dobrudzha vs Kaliakra
5:0
May 27, 2017 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Dobrudzha
3:3
Apr 5, 2017 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Dobrudzha
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaliakra 85 / 100
Dobrudzha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaliakra Dobrudzha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaliakra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Kaliakra's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dobrudzha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Dobrudzha's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dobrudzha
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaliakra

(Home)
29 May
Kubrat
3 : 2
Kaliakra
24 May
Kaliakra
2 : 3
Topolite
19 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 1
Kaliakra
12 May
Kaliakra
3 : 2
Volov Shumen
05 May
Ustrem Donchevo
0 : 2
Kaliakra
Page 1 of 6

Dobrudzha

(Away)
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
29 Aug
Dobrudzha
0 : 0
Rilski Sportist
23 Aug
Marek
4 : 2
Dobrudzha
16 Aug
Dobrudzha
0 : 1
Yantra Gabrovo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 30 28 2 0 101:10 86
2 Suvorovo 30 20 4 6 81:21 64
3 Lokomotiv Ruse 30 15 6 9 49:31 51
4 Hitrino 30 14 9 7 43:36 51
5 Septemvri Tervel 30 14 4 12 48:49 46
6 Svetkavitsa 30 12 6 12 44:26 42
7 Kaliakra 30 12 6 12 40:43 42
8 Spartak Varna 30 10 6 14 43:61 36
9 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 3 21 25:78 21
10 Kubrat 30 4 5 21 22:61 17
11 Benkovski Byala 30 3 3 24 20:100 12
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)