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Kaliakra vs Topolite

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2018/2019 game between Kaliakra and Topolite finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Topolite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Kaliakra
15%
Draws
28%
Topolite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaliakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaliakra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Kaliakra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Topolite here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kaliakra Clean Sheet 20%
Topolite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaliakra Topolite
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.47 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2019 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Topolite
2:3
Mar 2, 2019 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Kaliakra
1:0
Sep 15, 2018 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Topolite
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaliakra 85 / 100
Topolite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaliakra Topolite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaliakra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Topolite let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Kaliakra found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Topolite lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Topolite
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaliakra

(Home)
29 May
Kubrat
3 : 2
Kaliakra
24 May
Kaliakra
2 : 3
Topolite
19 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 1
Kaliakra
12 May
Kaliakra
3 : 2
Volov Shumen
05 May
Ustrem Donchevo
0 : 2
Kaliakra
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Topolite

(Away)
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 2
Topolite
16 May
Topolite
2 : 7
Ludogorets III
09 May
Topolite
1 : 3
Dunav Ruse
05 May
Topolite
1 : 4
Chernolomets
01 May
Svetkavitsa
5 : 0
Topolite
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