Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga B 2019 Hiiu Stadium

Keila JK

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kalju U21 play Keila JK in the Esiliiga B 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kalju U21 averaged 2.04 goals scored and 2.08 conceded. Keila JK averaged 2.69 goals scored and 3.16 conceded. In past meetings, Kalju U21 won 1, Keila JK won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 21, 2020 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Kalju U21 and 1.94 for Keila JK. This points to a Kalju U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Kalju U21

19%

Draws

36%

Keila JK

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Kalju U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Kalju U21 picked up more points recently compared to Keila JK.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%

Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Keila JK Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kalju U21	Keila JK
Matches Played	49	32
Wins	20	10
Draws	9	6
Losses	20	16
Goals Scored	2.04	2.69
Goals Conceded	2.08	3.16

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2020 Esiliiga B

Keila JK vs Kalju U21

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

3:3

Sep 26, 2020 Esiliiga B

Kalju U21 vs Keila JK

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

1:3

Jul 16, 2020 Esiliiga B

Kalju U21 vs Keila JK

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

3:5

Jun 21, 2020 Esiliiga B

Keila JK vs Kalju U21

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Oct 5, 2019 Esiliiga B

Kalju U21 vs Keila JK

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 43 / 100

Keila JK 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kalju U21 Keila JK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kalju U21 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.7%

1.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalju U21 attacking → ← attacking Keila JK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju U21 scored in 80% of their last 49 games.

Keila JK let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Kalju U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Keila JK lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 36

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nomme Utd	36	27	4	5	118:38	85
2	Vandra Vaprus	36	21	5	10	97:71	68
3	Parnu	36	19	5	12	82:53	62
4	Kalju U21	36	19	4	13	79:50	61
5	Viimsi JK	36	16	4	16	75:68	52
6	Keila JK	36	14	4	18	67:87	46
7	Tabasalu	36	13	4	19	77:79	43
8	Paide Linnameeskond U21	36	11	6	19	61:87	39
9	Voru Helios	36	10	4	22	48:101	34
10	Pohja-Tallinna	36	9	2	25	53:123	29