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Kalju U21 vs Tartu JK Welco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Kalju U21 Logo

Kalju U21

2 - 4
FT
Tartu JK Welco Logo

Tartu JK Welco

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tragon S.
Assist: Ingelmann N.
40' Event
Laasner K.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Jabir I.
Assist: Kiisel A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tartu JK Welco in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu JK Welco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Kalju U21
20%
Draws
63%
Tartu JK Welco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Tartu JK Welco have won more games recently than Kalju U21.
  • Tartu JK Welco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tartu JK Welco here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Tartu JK Welco
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.32 3.03
Goals Conceded 2.64 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Kalju U21
3:0
Aug 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
2:4
May 28, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Kalju U21
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
1:5
Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Kalju U21
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tragon S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jabir I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Salu R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roots R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 10 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Tartu JK Welco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Kalju U21 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Tartu JK Welco let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Kalju U21 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kalju U21 VS Tartu JK Welco
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju U21

(Home)
11 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Kalju U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

Tartu JK Welco

(Away)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)