Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalju vs Harju JK Laagri

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Kriis K.
23'
Sub
Kask K. In: Ivanov N.
Out: Kask K.
44'
Sotsugov D.

AI Match Summary

Kalju in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kalju
6%
Draws
90%
Harju JK Laagri
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harju JK Laagri lately — more wins on the board than Kalju.
  • Harju JK Laagri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kalju have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kalju Clean Sheet 16%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Harju JK Laagri
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Harju JK Laagri
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju
1:3
Sep 24, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju
2:3
Jun 18, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Harju JK Laagri
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolajev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 10 / 100
Harju JK Laagri 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Harju JK Laagri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Harju JK Laagri has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kalju remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS Harju JK Laagri
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2
Kalju
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0
Kalju
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
09 Jul
Kalju
1 : 0
Linfield
03 Jul
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Kalju
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Harju JK Laagri

(Away)
23 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
8 : 0
Rae Spordikool
19 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
5 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
10 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 0
Narva
05 Jul
Tammeka Tartu
2 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
20 Jun
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 3
Nomme Utd
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)