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Kalju vs Kohtla-Nomme

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalju play Kohtla-Nomme in the Estonian Cup 2013/2014. Kalju are favorites here. Recently, Kalju averaged 2.45 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Kohtla-Nomme averaged 1.2 goals scored and 6.5 conceded. In past meetings, Kalju won 1, Kohtla-Nomme won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 9, 2013 ended 14:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Kalju and 1.00 for Kohtla-Nomme. This points to a Kalju double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kalju
25%
Draws
15%
Kohtla-Nomme
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kalju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Kalju picked up more points recently compared to Kohtla-Nomme.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Kalju Clean Sheet 23%
Kohtla-Nomme Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Kohtla-Nomme
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 16 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.45 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.93 6.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2013 Estonian Cup
Kalju vs Kohtla-Nomme
14:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirss R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Quintieri D.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kohtla-Nomme Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 59 / 100
Kohtla-Nomme 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Kohtla-Nomme

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kalju & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalju attacking → ← attacking Kohtla-Nomme

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Kohtla-Nomme let in goals in 100% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 14.00 goals.

Kalju went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kohtla-Nomme lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 6
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00