Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalju vs Levadia

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kirss R. In: Wendell
Out: Kirss R.
46'
Sub
Ivanov N. In: Orlov M.
Out: Ivanov N.
46'
Sub
Vastsuk B. In: Sotsugov D.
Out: Vastsuk B.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Kalju and Levadia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kalju
6%
Draws
90%
Levadia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia come out ahead of Kalju on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Levadia taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kalju Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju Levadia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.25 2.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kalju
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Levadia
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Levadia
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kalju
3:1
May 24, 2025 Estonian Cup
Kalju vs Levadia
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalju Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tambedou B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju 10 / 100
Levadia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju Levadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalju's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Levadia has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Kalju has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kalju VS Levadia
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju

(Home)
23 Jul
Shelbourne
5 : 2
Kalju
19 Jul
Kuressaare
0 : 0
Kalju
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
09 Jul
Kalju
1 : 0
Linfield
03 Jul
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Kalju
Page 1 of 6

Levadia

(Away)
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3
Levadia
28 Jun
Levadia
1 : 2
Flora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju20105533:1635
4Paide Linnameeskond2095632:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus20821028:3826
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri20811130:3425
9Kuressaare20531219:3318
10Narva20411515:4713
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)