Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Kalju play Parnu JK Vaprus in the Meistriliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kalju averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Parnu JK Vaprus averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Kalju won 1, Parnu JK Vaprus won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Kalju and 1.25 for Parnu JK Vaprus. This points to a Kalju double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kalju picked up more points recently compared to Parnu JK Vaprus.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.25 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kalju | Parnu JK Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kalju Compare
Parnu JK Vaprus Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kalju scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Parnu JK Vaprus let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Kalju went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Parnu JK Vaprus lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49:16 | 46 |
| 2 | Flora | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38:19 | 36 |
| 3 | Kalju | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33:16 | 34 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30:23 | 32 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | 26 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22:34 | 23 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 34:43 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 22:32 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Narva | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12:43 | 10 |