Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalmar vs Degerfors

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Jansson R.
Assist: Sagoe Jr C.
43'
Girmai N.
46'
Sub
Yiriyon G. In: Taranis A.
Out: Yiriyon G.

AI Match Summary

Kalmar in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kalmar
20%
Draws
30%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kalmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalmar have won more games recently than Degerfors.
  • Kalmar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kalmar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 68%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar Degerfors
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.54 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Degerfors
2:1
Oct 21, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Kalmar
1:3
Jun 10, 2023 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Degerfors
2:1
Jul 30, 2022 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Kalmar
2:1
Apr 17, 2022 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Degerfors
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosenqvist C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Degerfors Compare

Top Goalscorer Pikkarainen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar 86 / 100
Degerfors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Degerfors has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Kalmar found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kalmar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalmar VS Degerfors
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar

(Home)
09 Aug
IFK Goteborg
3 : 2
Kalmar
01 Aug
Hacken
1 : 1
Kalmar
25 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 1
Mjallby
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Hammarby
2 : 0
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

Degerfors

(Away)
09 Aug
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Degerfors
02 Aug
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 16 13 3 0 44:19 42
2 Hammarby 16 9 3 4 36:15 30
3 Djurgarden 15 8 2 5 33:16 26
4 Hacken 16 6 7 3 28:26 25
5 AIK 16 7 4 5 22:24 25
6 Vasteras SK 16 7 4 5 25:29 25
7 Elfsborg 16 6 6 4 21:18 24
8 GAIS 16 6 5 5 21:15 23
9 Malmo FF 16 7 2 7 31:27 23
10 IFK Goteborg 16 5 4 7 22:35 19
11 Kalmar 16 5 3 8 21:24 18
12 Brommapojkarna 16 4 6 6 22:26 18
13 Mjallby 15 4 5 6 20:20 17
14 Degerfors 16 3 4 9 14:27 13
15 Orgryte 16 3 4 9 20:37 13
16 Halmstad 16 1 4 11 11:33 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)