Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalmar vs Malmo FF

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gustafsson C.
Assist: Sagoe Jr C.
29' Event
Saetra L.
Own Goal
33' Event
Rosenqvist C.
Assist: R. Gojani

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Kalmar and Malmo FF finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Kalmar
20%
Draws
73%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Malmo FF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Malmo FF a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 11%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar Malmo FF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
2:2
Mar 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Malmo FF vs Kalmar
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
2:2
May 24, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Kalmar
5:0
Oct 8, 2023 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Malmo FF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustafsson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosenqvist C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Skogmar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar 10 / 100
Malmo FF 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Kalmar scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Malmo FF conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kalmar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kalmar VS Malmo FF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar

(Home)
20 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 5
Hacken
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
29 Aug
Halmstad
1 : 0
Kalmar
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

Malmo FF

(Away)
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
27 Aug
Lindo FF
1 : 5
Malmo FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)