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Kaloum Star vs ASFAG

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Kaloum Star and ASFAG finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaloum Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kaloum Star
35%
Draws
28%
ASFAG
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kaloum Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaloum Star come out ahead of ASFAG on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Kaloum Star taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kaloum Star Clean Sheet 20%
ASFAG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaloum Star ASFAG
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaloum Star vs ASFAG
2:0
Nov 19, 2025 Ligue 1
ASFAG vs Kaloum Star
1:2
Apr 16, 2021 Ligue 1
ASFAG vs Kaloum Star
2:0
Oct 24, 2020 Ligue 1
Kaloum Star vs ASFAG
0:1
Mar 22, 2020 Ligue 1
ASFAG vs Kaloum Star
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaloum Star 67 / 100
ASFAG 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaloum Star ASFAG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaloum Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ASFAG conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Kaloum Star scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Kaloum Star went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaloum Star VS ASFAG
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaloum Star

(Home)
21 Apr
Renaissance
3 : 2
Kaloum Star
17 Apr
Kaloum Star
3 : 1
Foot Elite
13 Apr
Loubha
1 : 1
Kaloum Star
07 Apr
Kaloum Star
1 : 2
Sangaredi
02 Apr
Ashanti GB (SAG)
1 : 0
Kaloum Star
Page 1 of 6

ASFAG

(Away)
22 Apr
Hafia
1 : 1
ASFAG
18 Apr
CI Kamsar
5 : 0
ASFAG
12 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 3
Ashanti GB (SAG)
08 Apr
ASFAG
2 : 2
Milo FC
04 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 1
Karfamoriah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 17 5 4 42:19 56
2 Hafia 26 15 7 4 34:16 52
3 CI Kamsar 26 15 3 8 37:21 48
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 8 6 31:18 44
5 Milo FC 26 11 10 5 33:18 43
6 Wakriya AC 26 8 9 9 22:26 33
7 ASFAG 26 9 5 12 31:35 32
8 Foot Elite 26 8 6 12 30:41 30
9 Sangaredi 26 7 8 11 22:28 29
10 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 7 8 11 23:32 29
11 RCC Kamsar 26 7 7 12 25:31 28
12 Karfamoriah 26 7 7 12 24:33 28
13 Renaissance 26 6 8 12 20:35 26
14 Loubha 26 4 7 15 14:35 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)