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Kaltenkirchener vs TSB Flensburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaltenkirchener host TSB Flensburg in the Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Kaltenkirchener have averaged 1.66 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against TSB Flensburg's 2.28 scored and 1.83 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.94) point toward TSB Flensburg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kaltenkirchener
15%
Draws
85%
TSB Flensburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSB Flensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaltenkirchener haven't matched TSB Flensburg's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on TSB Flensburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kaltenkirchener Clean Sheet 10%
TSB Flensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaltenkirchener TSB Flensburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.66 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaltenkirchener 10 / 100
TSB Flensburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaltenkirchener TSB Flensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSB Flensburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaltenkirchener's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

TSB Flensburg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: TSB Flensburg has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaltenkirchener VS TSB Flensburg
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaltenkirchener

(Home)
10 Oct
Hohenwestedt
3 : 2
Kaltenkirchener
03 Oct
Kaltenkirchener
1 : 3
VfR Neumunster
27 Sept
Kaltenkirchener
1 : 5
Oldenburger SV
20 Sept
Holstein Kiel II
7 : 0
Kaltenkirchener
12 Sept
Kaltenkirchener
2 : 6
SC Rapid Lubeck
Page 1 of 6

TSB Flensburg

(Away)
11 Oct
TSB Flensburg
0 : 1
Holstein Kiel II
03 Oct
SC Rapid Lubeck
0 : 5
TSB Flensburg
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 0
Lubeck II
13 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 4
Eckernforder SV
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel II 12 9 2 1 41:15 29
2 VfR Neumunster 11 7 3 1 30:15 24
3 Kilia Kiel 12 7 3 2 32:19 24
4 Rotenhof 12 6 4 2 27:21 22
5 TSB Flensburg 12 6 2 4 32:16 20
6 SC Rapid Lubeck 12 6 1 5 26:28 19
7 Oldenburger SV 11 5 2 4 30:24 17
8 Heider SV 12 5 2 5 21:31 17
9 PSV Neumunster 12 4 4 4 25:25 16
10 Eichede 12 3 5 4 19:15 14
11 Phonix Lubeck B 12 3 4 5 26:30 13
12 Nordmark Satrup 12 3 2 7 14:27 11
13 Hohenwestedt 12 2 4 6 21:30 10
14 Eckernforder SV 12 3 1 8 20:35 10
15 Lubeck II 12 3 1 8 17:32 10
16 Kaltenkirchener 12 2 2 8 18:36 8
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)