Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaluga vs Rodina Moscow 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Orbita stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Markitesov D.
30'
Kravtsov Z.
31' Event
Matyushenko I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kaluga
17%
Draws
13%
Rodina Moscow 2
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kaluga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow 2 haven't matched Kaluga's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kaluga a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 68%
Rodina Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Rodina Moscow 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Kaluga
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Kaluga
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:0
May 15, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kaluga vs Rodina Moscow 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Matyushenko I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rodina Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Savin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 77 / 100
Rodina Moscow 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Rodina Moscow 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaluga found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Rodina Moscow 2 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kaluga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Rodina Moscow 2
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110