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Kaluga vs Saratov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaluga host Saratov in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Saratov have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Kaluga have conceded 1.03 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Saratov slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Saratov. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kaluga
30%
Draws
23%
Saratov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kaluga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaluga come out ahead of Saratov on wins alone.
  • Kaluga are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saratov have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 20%
Saratov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Saratov
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Saratov vs Kaluga
1:1
Sep 26, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Saratov vs Kaluga
3:1
Sep 10, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kaluga vs Saratov
0:1
Nov 10, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kaluga vs Saratov
0:1
Sep 10, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Saratov vs Kaluga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 58 / 100
Saratov 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Saratov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaluga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saratov let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Saratov has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kaluga's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Saratov
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
18 Oct
D. Bryansk
1 : 4
Kaluga
14 Oct
Yenisey
2 : 0
Kaluga
10 Oct
Kaluga
0 : 0
Mashuk
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
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Saratov

(Away)
18 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Saratov
11 Oct
Saratov
0 : 3
Dynamo Vladivostok
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Kirov
3 : 1
Saratov
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 14 9 3 2 27:13 30
2 Kirov 14 8 3 3 17:12 27
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 14 5 5 4 18:15 20
4 Alania Vladikavkaz 14 4 7 3 20:15 19
5 Dynamo Vladivostok 14 4 5 5 13:12 17
6 Mashuk 14 2 10 2 12:12 16
7 D. Bryansk 14 4 4 6 14:22 16
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 14 1 11 2 14:15 14
9 Kaluga 14 1 7 6 10:17 10
10 Saratov 14 1 7 6 10:22 10
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)