Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Ivanushkin L.
25' Event
Kobyalko A.
46'
Sub
Ivanushkin L. In: Kuzin N. Y.
Out: Ivanushkin L.

AI Match Summary

Sibir Novosibirsk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sibir Novosibirsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kaluga
30%
Draws
41%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sibir Novosibirsk have won more games recently than Kaluga.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Sibir Novosibirsk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sibir Novosibirsk have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 23%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
3:0
Jul 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk
0:1
Jun 7, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobyalko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 29 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Kaluga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kaluga's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Sibir Novosibirsk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Kaluga
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Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
30 Aug
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 1
Kirov
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kirov 11 7 2 2 13:8 23
2 Rodina Moscow 2 11 7 2 2 20:10 23
3 D. Bryansk 11 4 4 3 11:13 16
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
5 Dynamo Vladivostok 11 3 4 4 8:9 13
6 Mashuk 11 2 7 2 8:8 13
7 Alania Vladikavkaz 11 2 6 3 14:12 12
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 11 1 8 2 12:13 11
9 Saratov 11 1 6 4 10:17 9
10 Kaluga 11 0 6 5 6:13 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)