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Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Orbita stadium, Kaluga
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Ivanushkin L.
25' Event
Kobyalko A.
46'
Sub
Ivanushkin L. In: Kuzin N. Y.
Out: Ivanushkin L.

AI Match Summary

Sibir Novosibirsk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sibir Novosibirsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kaluga
30%
Draws
58%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sibir Novosibirsk have won more games recently than Kaluga.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Sibir Novosibirsk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sibir Novosibirsk have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 17%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaluga Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
3:0
Jul 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk
0:1
Jun 7, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kaluga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobyalko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaluga 10 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaluga Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kaluga scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Kaluga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaluga VS Sibir Novosibirsk
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaluga

(Home)
10 Oct
Kaluga
0 : 0
Mashuk
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
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Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)