Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Pikara

Toyama

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kamatamare Sanuki play Toyama in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kamatamare Sanuki averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Toyama averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Kamatamare Sanuki won 2, Toyama won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Kamatamare Sanuki and 2.06 for Toyama. This points to a Toyama double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Kamatamare Sanuki

15%

Draws

53%

Toyama

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toyama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Kamatamare Sanuki picked up more points recently compared to Toyama.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Kamatamare Sanuki Clean Sheet 10%

Toyama Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kamatamare Sanuki	Toyama
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	18
Draws	1	2
Losses	19	10
Goals Scored	0.87	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.77	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League

Toyama vs Kamatamare Sanuki

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Feb 15, 2026 J2/J3 League

Kamatamare Sanuki vs Toyama

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:5

Sep 29, 2024 J3 League

Toyama vs Kamatamare Sanuki

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 4 - 0

2:2

Mar 2, 2024 J3 League

Kamatamare Sanuki vs Toyama

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Sep 10, 2023 J3 League

Kamatamare Sanuki vs Toyama

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kamatamare Sanuki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokubun M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Toyama Compare

Top Goalscorer Furukawa M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yoshihira T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamatamare Sanuki 31 / 100

Toyama 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kamatamare Sanuki Toyama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toyama Win (2)

Secondary Pick Toyama & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kamatamare Sanuki attacking → ← attacking Toyama

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kamatamare Sanuki scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Toyama let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kamatamare Sanuki went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Toyama lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 56

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15