Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kamenica Sasa vs Vardar Negotino

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kamenica Sasa play Vardar Negotino in the 2. MFL 2025/2026. Kamenica Sasa are favorites here. Recently, Kamenica Sasa averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Vardar Negotino averaged 0.88 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. In past meetings, Kamenica Sasa won 5, Vardar Negotino won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Kamenica Sasa and 1.25 for Vardar Negotino. This points to a Kamenica Sasa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kamenica Sasa
6%
Draws
4%
Vardar Negotino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kamenica Sasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kamenica Sasa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vardar Negotino.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Kamenica Sasa.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 2. MFL 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kamenica Sasa Clean Sheet 19%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kamenica Sasa Vardar Negotino
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 2. MFL
Kamenica Sasa vs Vardar Negotino
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Kamenica Sasa
1:8
May 3, 2025 2. MFL
Kamenica Sasa vs Vardar Negotino
4:2
Nov 10, 2024 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Kamenica Sasa
0:1
May 19, 2024 2. MFL
Kamenica Sasa vs Vardar Negotino
5:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamenica Sasa 85 / 100
Vardar Negotino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kamenica Sasa Vardar Negotino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kamenica Sasa scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Vardar Negotino let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Kamenica Sasa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vardar Negotino lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kamenica Sasa VS Vardar Negotino
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107