Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kamenica Sasa vs Vardarski

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2024/2025 game between Kamenica Sasa and Vardarski finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kamenica Sasa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kamenica Sasa
6%
Draws
4%
Vardarski
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kamenica Sasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vardarski haven't matched Kamenica Sasa's recent run of results.
  • Kamenica Sasa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kamenica Sasa Clean Sheet 20%
Vardarski Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kamenica Sasa Vardarski
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2025 2. MFL
Vardarski vs Kamenica Sasa
1:4
Nov 23, 2024 2. MFL
Kamenica Sasa vs Vardarski
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kamenica Sasa 85 / 100
Vardarski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kamenica Sasa Vardarski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardarski let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Vardarski registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kamenica Sasa's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kamenica Sasa VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Makedonija GP30198347:865
2Arsimi30205555:2465
3Bashkimi30206452:2263
4Bregalnica Stip30177638:2358
5Detonit Plackovica301014640:3044
6Kamenica Sasa301261248:4442
7Ohrid301261236:4042
8Belasica Strumica301011935:3041
9Kozuf Gevgelija30912932:2739
10FK Skopje30912932:3239
11Novaci30981331:3635
12Pobeda30891328:3433
13Vardar Negotino301031734:5233
14Osogovo30781529:4429
15Borec30452122:5417
16Vardarski30322521:8011