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Kampala City vs Buhimba Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 MTN Omondi Stadium, Bugoloobi
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Mugisha R.

AI Match Summary

Kampala City in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kampala City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kampala City
15%
Draws
0%
Buhimba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kampala City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kampala City lately — more wins on the board than Buhimba.
  • Kampala City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 68%
Buhimba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kampala City Buhimba
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.55 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Premier League
Buhimba vs Kampala City
0:2
Dec 16, 2025 Premier League
Kampala City vs Buhimba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kampala City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugisha R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Buhimba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kampala City 95 / 100
Buhimba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kampala City Buhimba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kampala City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buhimba let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Buhimba registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kampala City scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kampala City VS Buhimba
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.57
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Kampala City

(Home)
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0
Kataka
08 Sept
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 0
Kampala City
03 Sept
Express FC
2 : 0
Kampala City
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0
Kampala City
Page 1 of 7

Buhimba

(Away)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
13 May
NEC FC
3 : 0
Buhimba
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)