Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kampala City vs Maroons

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 MTN Omondi Stadium, Bugoloobi
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Mugume A.
87' Event
Achayi H.
90' Event
Ahimbisibwe Ivan

AI Match Summary

Kampala City in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kampala City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kampala City
30%
Draws
23%
Maroons
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kampala City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kampala City lately — more wins on the board than Maroons.
  • Win probability leans Kampala City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 68%
Maroons Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kampala City Maroons
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.63 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Premier League
Kampala City vs Maroons
3:0
Jan 21, 2026 Premier League
Maroons vs Kampala City
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Maroons vs Kampala City
0:0
Oct 31, 2024 Premier League
Kampala City vs Maroons
5:0
May 18, 2024 Premier League
Maroons vs Kampala City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kampala City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugume A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Achayi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Maroons Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kampala City 95 / 100
Maroons 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kampala City Maroons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kampala City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kampala City found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kampala City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Maroons let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kampala City VS Maroons
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kampala City

(Home)
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0
Kampala City
23 May
Kampala City
4 : 1
Mbarara City
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
13 May
UPDF FC
1 : 2
Kampala City
07 May
Kampala City
3 : 0
Maroons
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Maroons

(Away)
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
19 May
Maroons
0 : 3
Vipers
12 May
Maroons
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
07 May
Kampala City
3 : 0
Maroons
28 Apr
Uganda Revenue
2 : 2
Maroons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)