Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Ssebaduka S.
30'
30'
Mayanja S.
69'
69'
Anyama E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Onduparaka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kampala City come out ahead of Onduparaka on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Kampala City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kampala City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 20%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kampala City | Onduparaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 0.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Uganda Cup
Kampala City vs Onduparaka
5:0
May 2, 2023 Premier League
Kampala City vs Onduparaka
2:2
Dec 2, 2022 Premier League
Onduparaka vs Kampala City
0:2
Feb 19, 2022 Premier League
Kampala City vs Onduparaka
3:1
Feb 3, 2022 Premier League
Onduparaka vs Kampala City
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kampala City Compare
Top Goalscorer Anyama E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ssebaduka S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48
Onduparaka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kampala City 36 / 100
Onduparaka 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kampala City Onduparaka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Onduparaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Kampala City scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Onduparaka conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Kampala City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kampala City VS Onduparaka
1.5 Goals Scored 0.71
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.43
50% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kampala City
(Home) 16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0 Kataka
08 Sept
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 0 Kampala City
03 Sept
Express FC
2 : 0 Kampala City
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2 NEC FC
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0 Kampala City
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0 Kataka
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2 NEC FC
23 May
Kampala City
4 : 1 Mbarara City
07 May
Kampala City
3 : 0 Maroons
29 Apr
Kampala City
1 : 1 Vipers
Page 1 of 3
Onduparaka
(Away) 06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0 Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0 Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0 Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1 Onduparaka
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1 Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Catda
1 : 0 Onduparaka
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1 Onduparaka
19 Apr
Nebbi Central
1 : 1 Onduparaka
05 Apr
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 0 Onduparaka
21 Mar
Wakiso Giants
0 : 0 Onduparaka
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Kitara 6
Bunyaruguru 0
Express FC 4
Red Devo 0
NEC FC 2
Lugazi 0
Vipers 4
Iganga United 0
Uganda Revenue 3
Tapoh 0
Kampala City 5
Onduparaka 0
Happy Boy 1
Six Oclock 0
Villa 1
Maroons 0
Quarter-finals
Kitara 3
Express FC 0
NEC FC 0
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 3
Kampala City 2
Happy Boy 0
Villa 1
Semi-finals
Kitara 1
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 0
Villa 3
Final
Kitara 2
Villa 1
