Sport Picks
Kampala City vs UPDF FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uganda
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Kampala City host UPDF FC in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kampala City have averaged 1.45 scored and 0.77 conceded recently, against UPDF FC's 0.71 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Kampala City slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.06 - 0.69) back Kampala City to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Kampala City lately — more wins on the board than UPDF FC.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Kampala City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kampala City | UPDF FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kampala City's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
UPDF FC let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Kampala City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kampala City
(Home)UPDF FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 11 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 7 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Kampala City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 10 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 12 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 13 | Express FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 14 | Uganda Revenue | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
