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Kampaniakos vs Makedonikos Neapolis

Greece Greece

Super League 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kampaniakos play Makedonikos Neapolis in the Super League 2. Kampaniakos are favorites here. Recently, Kampaniakos averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Makedonikos Neapolis averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Kampaniakos won 3, Makedonikos Neapolis won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Kampaniakos and 1.19 for Makedonikos Neapolis. This points to a Kampaniakos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kampaniakos
15%
Draws
26%
Makedonikos Neapolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kampaniakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kampaniakos picked up more points recently compared to Makedonikos Neapolis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Kampaniakos Clean Sheet 20%
Makedonikos Neapolis Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kampaniakos Makedonikos Neapolis
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.03 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super League 2
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Kampaniakos
4:3
Feb 28, 2026 Super League 2
Kampaniakos vs Makedonikos Neapolis
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Super League 2
Kampaniakos vs Makedonikos Neapolis
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super League 2
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Kampaniakos
0:1
Aug 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Kampaniakos
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kampaniakos Compare

Top Goalscorer Dermitzakis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Makedonikos Neapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Saragiotis S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verhoeven N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kampaniakos 57 / 100
Makedonikos Neapolis 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kampaniakos Makedonikos Neapolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kampaniakos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kampaniakos & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kampaniakos attacking → ← attacking Makedonikos Neapolis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kampaniakos scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Makedonikos Neapolis let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Kampaniakos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Makedonikos Neapolis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 14
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63